Implosion of Grail’s Galleri Cancer Screening Test?
One of the major goals in cancer research is to develop means of early diagnosis for cancers which typically present at an advanced stage, such as ovarian cancer. The Grail cancer screening test is one such attempt. Using circulating tumour DNA as a marker of disease, the test seeks to identify cancer early to improve survival.
This test has been applied over the last three years in the Galleri Clinical Trial in the UK. The prospective trial has 142000 participants aged between 50 and 77, with possible expansion to one million and is administered by the NHS. The key endpoint is reduction in numbers of cancers presenting on diagnosis as stage 3 or 4, with a later stated goal of fewer than 20% of cancers presenting at stage 4. The trial was controversial with complaints of poor use of limited resources and possible bias. However, political pressure in the form of honouring an electoral promise, ensured it’s commencement.
Now the test manufacturer; Grail has announced the preliminary results which show that the primary endpoint has not been achieved. This has caused a collapse in the stock price of the company and led to no further increase in participants for the NHS-sponsored test. The manufacturer claims it is too soon to evaluate the test; numbers of end stage 4 tumour diagnoses are reduced, and survival benefits will take more time to be seen. Of course they would say that wouldn’t they?


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